- How To Control Master Batting
- How To Control Master Betting Software
- How To Control Gambling
- Masters Betting Odds
- Masters Betting Games
- Masters 2020 Betting
- How To Control Master Betting Tips
Many different betting options are available for sports bettors. You can make bets with or against the spread, make bets on the money line, or pick one of the hundreds of prop bets available every week.
To bet on the Redskins using the point spread, your bet is called 'laying the points.' For your bet to pay off, the ‘Skins have to win by five or more to cover the spread. Remember, if the ‘Skins win by exactly four, the game is a push, and both sides recoup their bet. Betting on totals isn't harder than making other types of bets, but it also isn't easier. By learning how to correctly evaluate games for the over/under, you can start making better bets and showing more profit. By mastering totals in sports betting, you add another way to. We are a team with full time sports traders, specialised in soccer betting with over 10 years. We are specialised in analysing soccer games and highlight the best value oportunity to get the profit from fotball betting. Bet with use, trust us, and you will have monthly profit based on our analysed tips. If playback doesn't begin shortly, try restarting your device. You're signed out. Videos you watch may be added to the TV's watch history and influence TV recommendations. To avoid this, cancel and sign in to YouTube on your computer.
But the bet that I want to cover today is the total, or over/under, wager.
When it comes to mastering totals in sports betting, some things are the same as they are with winning other types of bets, but some things are different. You still need to evaluate games and use as many statistics as you can. But you also need to consider a few things that other bettors ignore.
On this page, you're going to learn how to evaluate games for totals, and how to identify and exploit value when betting on totals.
The Numbers
The best way to start evaluating games for betting on totals is to use the available statistics. It doesn't matter what sport you're betting on, you start with the same information.
Look at the average points, runs, or goals scored for each team, and see what the total is. It's best to separate this number for each team by how they perform at home and how they perform on the road.
When you compile an estimated total score based on the expected score of the home team and the expected score of the road team, you have a good starting point.
I always like to compare this number to the totals offered by the bookmakers. I never make a bet based on this number, because there are a number of other factors to include, but I like to have an idea of what the book thinks at this point.
How To Control Master Batting
If the number that the books offer is way off of mine, I'm instantly on alert for something that I might have missed. The bookmakers do a good job setting totals just like they do on their other lines, so if a total is far from what the raw statistics tell, there has to be a reason.
The bookmakers start with the same calculations, and then adjust the line based on other factors.
I'm actually happy when the published line is close to the statistical line I come up with, because it often gives me an opportunity to find value when I dig deeper into the contest.
The Next Level
Once you have the expected results based on statistics and past performance, it's time to learn more. I consider a wide range of things when adjusting my predicted total, including:
- Strength of each team's defense.
- Strength of each team's offense.
- Travel schedule and distance.
- Weather
- Starting pitchers in baseball.
- Starting quarterbacks in football.
- Injuries.
- Past match-ups, if the teams have played recently.
- Current streaks for each team.
You need to evaluate the strengths and weaknesses for each team's offensive and defensive unit. The numbers I used in the first section are average numbers and can be expected to be replicated against an average opponent.
But when a team faces a great defense, their offensive output is generally diminished, and when they face a weak defense, the expected offensive output goes up. The same goes for defenses that are facing weak and strong offenses.
You can get a feel for the strength of each team's offense and defense from their overall numbers, but the best way is to watch as many games as possible.
Once you evaluate each team's offense and defense in respect to their current opponent, you can adjust your expected total.
The next thing to consider is how far the road team has to travel and the recent travel schedule for both teams. Has one team had more rest than the other, and how much will this change the expected scoring?
Weather has a great deal to do with totals in outdoor sports. Football, soccer, and baseball are all sports where the weather can influence the total score.
In baseball, cold weather tends to decrease scores. Windy weather can increase or decrease the scores, depending on the pitcher and which way the wind is blowing.
In football and soccer, some teams do better in rain than others. Heavy snow in football tends to decrease the total score.
The starting pitchers in baseball have more to do with the expected runs scored than anything else. Strong starting pitching keeps the runs down, and weak starting pitching inflates the totals. You also should consider the ability of the bullpens and if their best relievers are rested or have pitched recently.
In football, the starting quarterbacks have a big influence in the final score. It's not as big an influence as the starting pitchers in baseball, but it's still important.
Injuries to key players have a great deal to do with expected totals. It's easy to see how a basketball team's top scorer or point guard being out will hurt their chances to score. The same is true for a football team's starting quarterback or running back.
But you need to think deeper. If a good starting catcher is out with an injury or resting, it usually hurts the pitching and defense. An injured dominant pass rusher changes an entire defense in football.
You can't just consider the best players that are injured or resting. You need to evaluate how every injury changes a team's expected scoring or defense.
If the teams have played against each other during the current season, you need to consider the results from those games. You also need to watch for reasons why the results could be different this time.
Were certain players out in the earlier game or games? Was the weather different? What about the travel schedules for the earlier match-up or match-ups?
Is either team on a long winning or losing streak? The mental side of games is often ignored by sports bettors, but it has a great deal to do with performance. A team that's on a winning streak plays with more confidence, and it helps them perform better.
A team on a losing streak tends to make more mistakes and turn in a weaker performance. But some teams are better able to deal with streaks than others. Sometimes this comes from good coaching, and sometimes it comes from the leaders on the team.
This is why you need to know about current streaks and the makeup of the team and coaching staff.
One thing you always need to remember when evaluating totals is that the bookmakers know the same things I'm covering here. When I see a total line that seems off, I almost always find the reason why when I'm going over some of the things listed in this section.
If I evaluate a game for the total using everything we've covered so far and find a line that looks like it offers value, I usually make a bet. But there are a couple more things that I look at, too. You can learn about them in the next section.
Advanced Total Evaluations
It might seem like I've covered everything that you could possibly use to influence evaluations of expected totals. But the thing that often separates winners from losers is going the extra mile and finding things that most bettors ignore or are too lazy to use.
I use two advance metrics or evaluations beyond everything we've talked about so far. The first one is applicable to every sport, and the second one is especially applicable when you bet on NCAA football and basketball.
Here are the two things that I ask about every game:
How much of the offensive or defensive statistics have been influenced by the end of games that were out of control?
How To Control Master Betting Software
What is the coaching style for each team? Do they bury opponents, or let up when they have the game in hand? This also leads to the question of how each team plays when they fall behind. Do they keep fighting, or do they give up?
The only way to determine how much of the past offensive or defensive numbers have come from less meaningful periods of games is to watch the games. A defense that is up by 24 points in the fourth quarter in football or basketball is likely to give up respective yards or points late in the game.
They're more interested in burning the clock than giving up points. On the opposite side, a team that plays from way behind at the end of many games has inflated offense numbers.
A football team with a strong offense that has a big lead starts running the ball more to eat the clock. This may reduce their scoring, especially if they have a strong passing attack.
When you evaluate totals, it's good to know how much of a team's past performance has been generated in close games and in blowouts. You have to be careful about this when adjusting your totals, because in the game you're making an evaluation for, it doesn't matter how the points are scored.
The points put up in garbage time are just as important as the ones early in the game. But if you know the difference in past games and can predict if the current game is likely to be close or have a big lead, you can use this to adjust your totals.
While the same thing should be considered in all sports, the overall coaching philosophy should always be considered in NCAA football and basketball games, especially when a game looks like it's going to be lopsided.
Some NCAA coaches start playing their backups as soon as a game is out of hand, and others continue pouring on the points until the end.
Many years ago, it was often considered poor sportsmanship to run up the score on your opponent, but with the way teams are fighting for a spot in bowl games and the NCAA basketball tournament, coaches feel the pressure and know that big wins can help their case.
It's often better to win by 30 than 20 if you can; so many powerful programs play their best players longer and run up the score more.
On the other side, many teams give up if they fall behind by too much. These teams are dangerous for totals bettors, because they're difficult to predict. But the teams that continue fighting and trying to compete until the bitter end are hard to find.
How To Control Gambling
The last thing I look at when considering totals, especially when my evaluation is especially close to the offered lines, is the special teams' play. This is just for football, so I didn't include it above as something that I look at for every game, but it's one of the advanced things that most sports bettors ignore.
The special teams are made up of kickers, returners, blockers, and coverage teams. Each of these is important and can influence the totals in a game.
A team that has special teams units that can consistently give them better field position has a better chance to score. And a team with special teams units that consistently put their opponents in poor field position makes it harder for the opponent to score.
The Numbers
The best way to start evaluating games for betting on totals is to use the available statistics. It doesn't matter what sport you're betting on, you start with the same information.
Look at the average points, runs, or goals scored for each team, and see what the total is. It's best to separate this number for each team by how they perform at home and how they perform on the road.
When you compile an estimated total score based on the expected score of the home team and the expected score of the road team, you have a good starting point.
I always like to compare this number to the totals offered by the bookmakers. I never make a bet based on this number, because there are a number of other factors to include, but I like to have an idea of what the book thinks at this point.
How To Control Master Batting
If the number that the books offer is way off of mine, I'm instantly on alert for something that I might have missed. The bookmakers do a good job setting totals just like they do on their other lines, so if a total is far from what the raw statistics tell, there has to be a reason.
The bookmakers start with the same calculations, and then adjust the line based on other factors.
I'm actually happy when the published line is close to the statistical line I come up with, because it often gives me an opportunity to find value when I dig deeper into the contest.
The Next Level
Once you have the expected results based on statistics and past performance, it's time to learn more. I consider a wide range of things when adjusting my predicted total, including:
- Strength of each team's defense.
- Strength of each team's offense.
- Travel schedule and distance.
- Weather
- Starting pitchers in baseball.
- Starting quarterbacks in football.
- Injuries.
- Past match-ups, if the teams have played recently.
- Current streaks for each team.
You need to evaluate the strengths and weaknesses for each team's offensive and defensive unit. The numbers I used in the first section are average numbers and can be expected to be replicated against an average opponent.
But when a team faces a great defense, their offensive output is generally diminished, and when they face a weak defense, the expected offensive output goes up. The same goes for defenses that are facing weak and strong offenses.
You can get a feel for the strength of each team's offense and defense from their overall numbers, but the best way is to watch as many games as possible.
Once you evaluate each team's offense and defense in respect to their current opponent, you can adjust your expected total.
The next thing to consider is how far the road team has to travel and the recent travel schedule for both teams. Has one team had more rest than the other, and how much will this change the expected scoring?
Weather has a great deal to do with totals in outdoor sports. Football, soccer, and baseball are all sports where the weather can influence the total score.
In baseball, cold weather tends to decrease scores. Windy weather can increase or decrease the scores, depending on the pitcher and which way the wind is blowing.
In football and soccer, some teams do better in rain than others. Heavy snow in football tends to decrease the total score.
The starting pitchers in baseball have more to do with the expected runs scored than anything else. Strong starting pitching keeps the runs down, and weak starting pitching inflates the totals. You also should consider the ability of the bullpens and if their best relievers are rested or have pitched recently.
In football, the starting quarterbacks have a big influence in the final score. It's not as big an influence as the starting pitchers in baseball, but it's still important.
Injuries to key players have a great deal to do with expected totals. It's easy to see how a basketball team's top scorer or point guard being out will hurt their chances to score. The same is true for a football team's starting quarterback or running back.
But you need to think deeper. If a good starting catcher is out with an injury or resting, it usually hurts the pitching and defense. An injured dominant pass rusher changes an entire defense in football.
You can't just consider the best players that are injured or resting. You need to evaluate how every injury changes a team's expected scoring or defense.
If the teams have played against each other during the current season, you need to consider the results from those games. You also need to watch for reasons why the results could be different this time.
Were certain players out in the earlier game or games? Was the weather different? What about the travel schedules for the earlier match-up or match-ups?
Is either team on a long winning or losing streak? The mental side of games is often ignored by sports bettors, but it has a great deal to do with performance. A team that's on a winning streak plays with more confidence, and it helps them perform better.
A team on a losing streak tends to make more mistakes and turn in a weaker performance. But some teams are better able to deal with streaks than others. Sometimes this comes from good coaching, and sometimes it comes from the leaders on the team.
This is why you need to know about current streaks and the makeup of the team and coaching staff.
One thing you always need to remember when evaluating totals is that the bookmakers know the same things I'm covering here. When I see a total line that seems off, I almost always find the reason why when I'm going over some of the things listed in this section.
If I evaluate a game for the total using everything we've covered so far and find a line that looks like it offers value, I usually make a bet. But there are a couple more things that I look at, too. You can learn about them in the next section.
Advanced Total Evaluations
It might seem like I've covered everything that you could possibly use to influence evaluations of expected totals. But the thing that often separates winners from losers is going the extra mile and finding things that most bettors ignore or are too lazy to use.
I use two advance metrics or evaluations beyond everything we've talked about so far. The first one is applicable to every sport, and the second one is especially applicable when you bet on NCAA football and basketball.
Here are the two things that I ask about every game:
How much of the offensive or defensive statistics have been influenced by the end of games that were out of control?
How To Control Master Betting Software
What is the coaching style for each team? Do they bury opponents, or let up when they have the game in hand? This also leads to the question of how each team plays when they fall behind. Do they keep fighting, or do they give up?
The only way to determine how much of the past offensive or defensive numbers have come from less meaningful periods of games is to watch the games. A defense that is up by 24 points in the fourth quarter in football or basketball is likely to give up respective yards or points late in the game.
They're more interested in burning the clock than giving up points. On the opposite side, a team that plays from way behind at the end of many games has inflated offense numbers.
A football team with a strong offense that has a big lead starts running the ball more to eat the clock. This may reduce their scoring, especially if they have a strong passing attack.
When you evaluate totals, it's good to know how much of a team's past performance has been generated in close games and in blowouts. You have to be careful about this when adjusting your totals, because in the game you're making an evaluation for, it doesn't matter how the points are scored.
The points put up in garbage time are just as important as the ones early in the game. But if you know the difference in past games and can predict if the current game is likely to be close or have a big lead, you can use this to adjust your totals.
While the same thing should be considered in all sports, the overall coaching philosophy should always be considered in NCAA football and basketball games, especially when a game looks like it's going to be lopsided.
Some NCAA coaches start playing their backups as soon as a game is out of hand, and others continue pouring on the points until the end.
Many years ago, it was often considered poor sportsmanship to run up the score on your opponent, but with the way teams are fighting for a spot in bowl games and the NCAA basketball tournament, coaches feel the pressure and know that big wins can help their case.
It's often better to win by 30 than 20 if you can; so many powerful programs play their best players longer and run up the score more.
On the other side, many teams give up if they fall behind by too much. These teams are dangerous for totals bettors, because they're difficult to predict. But the teams that continue fighting and trying to compete until the bitter end are hard to find.
How To Control Gambling
The last thing I look at when considering totals, especially when my evaluation is especially close to the offered lines, is the special teams' play. This is just for football, so I didn't include it above as something that I look at for every game, but it's one of the advanced things that most sports bettors ignore.
The special teams are made up of kickers, returners, blockers, and coverage teams. Each of these is important and can influence the totals in a game.
A team that has special teams units that can consistently give them better field position has a better chance to score. And a team with special teams units that consistently put their opponents in poor field position makes it harder for the opponent to score.
Masters Betting Odds
Strong field goal kickers create scoring opportunities that some teams don't have, and can move totals by 10 or more points at times. Great returners can score touchdowns and set their team up for an extra score or two every game.
Don't make the mistake that most sports bettors make. Use everything at your disposal when you evaluate totals. When you use these advanced sports betting tactics, you can improve your overall results when betting on totals.
Masters Betting Games
If you win just a couple extra bets a season, the extra time is well worth it. You can also find games that look like they offer value on the total, but really don't. When you don't bet on these games and avoid a loss, it's the same as a win.
Conclusion
Masters 2020 Betting
Betting on totals isn't harder than making other types of bets, but it also isn't easier. By learning how to correctly evaluate games for the over/under, you can start making better bets and showing more profit.
How To Control Master Betting Tips
By mastering totals in sports betting, you add another way to make money when gambling on sporting events.